Friday, June 10, 2022

10 Year Bond Rate is over 3% and Inverted

An inverted Treasury yield curve is one of the most reliable leading indicators of an impending recession



New Inflation Numbers out

The FED has created artificial demand and now a shortage.


New Inflation Numbers out
: While loans and credit cards are full of debt consumer confidence at an all time low. I thought it

Thursday, June 9, 2022

Where is the Economy going? Up or down?

Usually a recession starts in the manufacturing sector. And when the layoffs are coming people also start to save on services. But we can see that the development in the service sector is much more dramatic. Inflation is eating everything here.


Tuesday, May 17, 2022

Wheat and Corn Shortages are Coming

And India banned wheat exports on Saturday days after saying it was targeting record shipments this year, as a scorching heatwave curtailed output and domestic prices hit a record high. The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) defines a drought year as one in which the overall rainfall deficiency is more than 10 per cent of the long period average and more than 20 per cent of the agricultural area is affected. 
Continue Reading here



Friday, May 13, 2022

Consumer Sentiment, Inflation and Market Crash

If you ever wanted to know where inflation comes from, what to do about it, and what happens if nothing is done at all or too late. This is a MUST read. You can read it in different languages including Filipino and German.



Wednesday, May 11, 2022

The Feds must Hike Interest Rates by 100 BP

The Feds must Hike Interest Rates by 100 BP
And if they do so the stock market will further crash. And if they do not do it, Inflation will accelerate.
A recession with high inflation is at the door step.


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One Day before GDP Release. Whats up with the Qs?

The 28 May 365/385/315/295  QQQ  Iron Condor circles between 25% and 30% P/L. If it hits 30% today I will take it off. If it waits until tom...

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